Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.938146 4.219916 4.521078 4.868493 5.260212 5.690591 6.202497
2025-07-20 3.536875 3.935702 4.389110 4.949144 5.631539 6.448726 7.521752
2025-07-27 3.325068 3.795017 4.352364 5.075247 6.008784 7.205477 8.913388
2025-08-03 3.126033 3.634756 4.257369 5.095722 6.229536 7.767326 10.128059
2025-08-10 2.940108 3.467771 4.129560 5.047644 6.337155 8.171893 11.177237
2025-08-17 2.748793 3.276446 3.950373 4.906653 6.289739 8.334171 11.868200
2025-08-24 2.607693 3.138695 3.828494 4.828440 6.316125 8.599777 12.771519
2025-08-31 2.532708 3.081444 3.807864 4.886659 6.544854 9.206804 14.413275
2025-09-07 2.447122 3.003799 3.752343 4.886830 6.680113 9.674939 15.913059
2025-09-14 2.318679 2.860873 3.596656 4.725323 6.539694 9.644179 16.374747
2025-09-21 2.219877 2.753925 3.485720 4.622810 6.484267 9.755374 17.175218
2025-09-28 2.134783 2.662026 3.391179 4.538204 6.449284 9.896974 18.084815
2025-10-05 2.070758 2.600334 3.341992 4.528697 6.555238 10.351108 20.001614
2025-10-12 2.032635 2.573910 3.343506 4.600675 6.814176 11.163482 23.281264
2025-10-19 2.007922 2.564865 3.369400 4.712902 7.158235 12.228213 27.993370
2025-10-26 1.961509 2.521769 3.340695 4.731106 7.327152 12.943635 32.110725
2025-11-02 1.903928 2.459632 3.279170 4.688353 7.371911 13.377283 35.537396
2025-11-09 1.830955 2.371927 3.173830 4.562816 7.238572 13.347892 37.009481
2025-11-16 1.775195 2.307946 3.102913 4.493074 7.211961 13.588269 39.997295
2025-11-23 1.749831 2.288471 3.101106 4.544995 7.442380 14.560529 47.931928
2025-11-30 1.714832 2.252991 3.071862 4.545147 7.562574 15.263075 55.545685
2025-12-07 1.651634 2.172560 2.966987 4.401012 7.354037 14.967995 56.052056
2025-12-14 1.602298 2.112054 2.892481 4.309362 7.255015 14.989283 59.146853